This week, Scott Tranter and Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ join Ron Steslow to break down the biggest movement in polling and modeling, where it’s happening, in what races, and why.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(01:50) Changes to the election environment
(05:17) Overview of Senate Elections
(06:30) The movement in the Pennsylvania Senate Race
(10:50) What’s going on in the House races
(12:40) Democrats getting burned in the Michigan 3rd after playing with fire
(18:04) If youth voters can impact elections
(21:40) Are pollsters getting it wrong (again) in 2022?
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