This week, Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ joins Ron Steslow to break down the biggest movement in polling and modeling, where it’s happening, in what races, and why.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(02:15) Changes to the election environment
(03:10) Overview of Senate Elections
(03:50) The most Senate Seat most likely to flip to Republicans
(06:16) Polling averages vs win likelihood in Ohio
(08:30) What’s going on in the House races
(12:52) The importance of turnout and how the mathletes predict it
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